Comments on: Predictions http://www.casualoptimist.com/2010/01/08/predictions/ Books, Design & Culture Mon, 06 Feb 2012 06:52:33 +0000 hourly 1 By: Dan http://www.casualoptimist.com/2010/01/08/predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-4405 Dan Wed, 13 Jan 2010 02:49:20 +0000 http://www.casualoptimist.com/?p=3372#comment-4405 Hey Richard. I just wrote a really long reply to your comment and then promptly lost it (hey -- I'm sleep deprived). I will try and follow up with you about this at a later date... :-( Hey Richard. I just wrote a really long reply to your comment and then promptly lost it (hey — I’m sleep deprived). I will try and follow up with you about this at a later date… :-(

]]> By: Richard Nash http://www.casualoptimist.com/2010/01/08/predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-4397 Richard Nash Sun, 10 Jan 2010 20:15:35 +0000 http://www.casualoptimist.com/?p=3372#comment-4397 Hey Dan, it didn't come off as snarky. Predictions aren't really about the future, they're about the present. In fact, my only "criticism," as such, would be to challenge you to perform the analysis you call for, because I think it is exactly the right analysis. ONe could ask whether it is worth someone's time to engage in Talmudic analysis of the above predictions and their ilk and my best guess is that if someone thinks it's worth it, then it's at least worth that person's time. So maybe farm out the job? In any event, thanks for noticing my post and do let me know if anyone performs your three-question-analysis on mine or anyone else's predictions cause I'd want to read and spread the word... Hey Dan, it didn’t come off as snarky. Predictions aren’t really about the future, they’re about the present. In fact, my only “criticism,” as such, would be to challenge you to perform the analysis you call for, because I think it is exactly the right analysis.

ONe could ask whether it is worth someone’s time to engage in Talmudic analysis of the above predictions and their ilk and my best guess is that if someone thinks it’s worth it, then it’s at least worth that person’s time. So maybe farm out the job?

In any event, thanks for noticing my post and do let me know if anyone performs your three-question-analysis on mine or anyone else’s predictions cause I’d want to read and spread the word…

]]> By: Dan http://www.casualoptimist.com/2010/01/08/predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-4395 Dan Sat, 09 Jan 2010 02:37:34 +0000 http://www.casualoptimist.com/?p=3372#comment-4395 Hey Ehren. This post sounds much snarkier than I intended! I agree -- predictions are fun and we love to make them. We just can help ourselves! Hey Ehren. This post sounds much snarkier than I intended! I agree — predictions are fun and we love to make them. We just can help ourselves!

]]> By: Ehren Cheung http://www.casualoptimist.com/2010/01/08/predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-4393 Ehren Cheung Fri, 08 Jan 2010 23:51:57 +0000 http://www.casualoptimist.com/?p=3372#comment-4393 The Black Swan. :) Thoroughly enjoyed that book and all its randomness too. I do find people make predictions because it's fun and/or it's also an element of control (or the hope of having some form of it). The Black Swan. :) Thoroughly enjoyed that book and all its randomness too. I do find people make predictions because it’s fun and/or it’s also an element of control (or the hope of having some form of it).

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